I got nothing against Plan B personally. He just made a model, for correlation, not causality.

But I'm a little disappointed to see him back so prominently. FTX shenanigans broke his model last cycle.

Even I felt victim to some of that hopium.

But FTX proved shit happens and models don't always hold.

The disappointment comes because there's a whole crop of noobs that will be counting on his model to hold. Looking for a winning lottery ticket. Missing the forest for the trees.

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The big problem I have with him is he doesn't follow his own models

After everyone got rekt, he said he wasn't buying

Like why are you pumping it if you don't believe it yourself? How about some warnings to the noobs?

Wasn't aware of that.

I knew people were calling him a scammer, but didn't know reasons why.

Years have taught me to auto-DCA and take the emotional triggers off the table.

Stack and HODL.

As I truly have no idea what you’re talking about, I’m just gonna reply intuitively OK

If people are truly noobs, why would they follow somebody and assume that that person is the correct person to follow from the very beginning I mean maybe the issue is we need to train noobs on verifying what Webber trust account means, etc. from the very beginning

He created some stock-to-flow models that predict Bitcoin's price trajectory.

Interesting stuff, just don't "bet the farm" on it.

It's helpful to compare Bitcoin to other stores of value like gold/silver too.

But it got folks frenzied with moon predictions.

Understood and thanks πŸ™