So much complexity to this. What trips me up: how can a monetary union survive without a fiscal union?

Ie when borrowing is done together but then spent in different ways

Only a matter of time before blows up in my view

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Yup.

I also think the central-planner-eu-union will also dissolve in favor of a economic bloc, as opposed to a central planning and warmongering bloc.

The countries not part of the eurozone will have an advantage in being shielded from the fragility of the euro.