Nostr

BREAKING:

Russian President Vladimir Putin orders the Russian military to begin nuclear weapons drills and manoeuvres.

https://video.nostr.build/52f0679de3b82187982abb3e1f15ec8cca09236e24a326ef84773d0cdef7e63d.mp4

last night I actually watched a lecture on nuclear deterrence and why Russia hasn't used them yet. One thing that came up was the self-use/testing within their own borders as a show of force.

After all, they could just nuke Ukraine/Kyiv and be done with the war, but it's more likely China/India talked him down from the escalation (but there are three main caveats)

So it's kind of interesting to see him say this now; we were waiting for a while to see what nuclear-rich Russia would actually do, since incursion onto their territory (Kursk).

The overall consensus was a drill/test to display that they still have the capability to do so.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpwge0fxwl54prjycgph09kyn7xt75lq34takdtc88axzv79c3g7gqqsxg6uvkzxmjk7ghd3ntvnrcjvuuh4arutcg8n0alem3jhyhdak7dsl8pxlj

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Discussion

S!ayer 1y ago

instead, we saw Russia use DPRK (North Korean) troops to push back in Kursk.

This move, IMO, is fine given that Ukraine has NATO 'freelancers' and 'volunteers' aka foreign fighters on the frontlines. So same same.

However, given North Korea's moves in the DMZ and other 'exercises' it's pretty clear that these troops are there to get some real combat experience (why?) - you know why.

So it's highly likely you'll see DPRK troops manning arty and other entrenched guns whilst the Russians push back Kursk. Failing or succeeding on this isn't going to stop a nuclear test as a show.

Just trying to "predict" the start is going to be a little tricky, given we're already rolling on.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpn0vcvwxm9qxaxnadvqxwsf25esan5cusq6u8lt9cp3sr5w2cwujqy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyv9kh2uewd9hj7qghwaehxw309aex2mrp0yhxummnw3ezucnpdejz7qpqsjmsqmqu9cwe6pxy74ut0rhl0rlumn6843sql96da4wznrpglc9q9uulhm