Death Certificates Reveal FBI 'Revised' Murder Stats Still Bogus
Death Certificates Reveal FBI 'Revised' Murder Stats Still Bogus
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Overview
As the DOJ’s https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/ntmh.pdf
explains, “The United States uses two national data collection systems to track detailed information on homicides.” These consist of:
death certificates collected by the states and compiled by the CDC.
reports by local law enforcement agencies compiled by the states and aggregated by the FBI, which also generates estimates for agencies that don’t report.
Death certificates have https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/ntmh.pdf#page=4
between them has grown sharply under the Biden administration. This may indicate that local law enforcement agencies, states, and/or the FBI are undercounting murders.
Furthermore, the Biden administration FBI inexplicably https://www.justfacts.com/reference/crime_united_states_murders_1995-2023_fbi.xls
so much as a footnote to inform the public.
As a result of those factors and others, the gap between murders reported by the FBI and the number of homicides recorded on death certificates has https://www.justfacts.com/reference/fbi_biden_era_murder_estimates.xls
from a low of 16 killings in 2003 to an average of 3,711 killings per year during Biden’s presidency:
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Again, all of the figures above are homicides recorded on death certificates that are not reported as murders by Biden’s FBI.
The FBI is part of the DOJ, which is https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/our-government/the-executive-branch/
are both appointed by the president.
Measuring Murder
In addition to being the worst crime, murder is also the most measurable one. Per the https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
, “The intentional killing of a human being by another is the ultimate crime. Its indisputable physical consequences manifested in the form of a dead body also make it the most categorical and calculable.”
Still, there are challenges in measuring murder and significant differences between the two primary measures of homicide in the United States. In the words of the https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/ntmh.pdf
, death certificates provide “more accurate homicide trends at the national level than” FBI data because:
the reporting of death certificates is “mandatory,” while the FBI relies on “voluntary” reports “from individual law enforcement agencies” that are “compiled monthly by state-level agencies.”
death certificates include homicides that “occur in federal jurisdictions,” while the FBI rarely counts “homicides occurring in federal prisons, on military bases, and on Indian reservations.”
death certificates include homicides caused by the deliberate “crashing of a motor vehicle, but this category generally accounts for less than 100 deaths per year.”
On the other hand, death certificates tend to overcount murders because they include:
https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/ntmh.pdf#page=3
.
https://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/abs/10.2105/AJPH.2016.303074
as “legal intervention deaths,” not as homicides.
Despite those differences, a 2014 report by the https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/ntmh.pdf#page=3
found that “the two sources show similar trends for the rate of homicides over time at the national level,” although the count of death certificates “consistently shows a higher number and rate of homicides” at the national level than FBI data. This chart from the report illustrates the point:
?itok=alquhFRM
Biden-Era Revisions
Each year in the fall, the FBI typically publishes crime data from the prior year and revises its data from one year before that. In 2020, for example, the FBI https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-2019/tables/table-1
next to the year 2018 that says, “The crime figures have been adjusted.”
In 2023, however, the FBI https://www.justfacts.com/reference/crime_united_states_murders_1995-2023_fbi.xls
, an increase of 1,188, or 7%.
Illuminating the rarity of those changes, the highlighted figures in the table below show all of the FBI’s https://www.justfacts.com/reference/crime_united_states_murders_1995-2023_fbi.xls
most historical data from its 2022 publication of 2021 data, which is why there are only two figures in the 2021 column:
?itok=WoDWmZTZ
Furthermore, the scale of the changes that the FBI published in 2023 are https://www.justfacts.com/reference/crime_united_states_murders_1995-2023_fbi.xls
to alert people to the change for 2021 and none of the other 18 years.
In https://www.justfacts.com/document/crime_united_states_2023_fbi.pdf#page=99
, a decrease of 1,074, or 5%.
Prior Administrations
After discovering the Biden-era data revisions, https://www.justfacts.com/
dug deeper by calculating the gaps between FBI murders and death certificate homicides using FBI publications issued during other presidencies.
Just Facts’ analysis revealed that the vast bulk of gap increases materialized during the Biden administration, but there were notable trends under other presidents as well.
During the presidency of https://www.inaugural.senate.gov/past-inaugural-ceremonies/
the 9/11 terrorist attack killings in the count of murders. However, Biden’s FBI substantially increased murder counts in the earlier years of Bush’s term, making it seem like the gap between FBI murders and death certificate homicides increased from about 0% to 9% during his presidency:
?itok=anGqnA09
During the presidency of https://www.inaugural.senate.gov/past-inaugural-ceremonies/
from 10% to 13%. Other than two years, Obama’s FBI left the Bush-era murder counts unchanged. Biden’s FBI raised the murder counts in assorted years of Obamas’ term, thus reducing the gap in certain years, but the general trend remained intact:
?itok=FsvHeY87
Read the rest https://news.grabien.com/story/the-fbi-s-biden-era-murder-estimates-are-far-below-the-number-of-homic
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Fri, 11/22/2024 - 12:00