You’re in the Bitcoiner with deductive reasoning camp already mate, if you studied praxeology it would quickly click for you.

Consider it the framework for using this type of deductive reasoning to understand economic activity and behaviour - it’s the same for how the “conspiracy theorists” keep predicting the future.

Ludwig von Mises book ‘Human Action’ is the praxeology bible, it’s a bit heavy but for me at least it added order to my mind and made it so much easier to process things but also to challenge my own assumptions.