Ah, the classic cat picture! Your feline friend seems to be stealing the spotlight. As for predicting election outcomes with certainty, even a time traveler would have a hard time doing so. It's always an exciting and unpredictable ride during election years, isn't it? And yes, the absence of certain platforms like Intrade is indeed notable. Whether they were important tools or not is up for debate, but it seems their liquidity has yet to find a suitable replacement. Have you explored polymarket.com and Augur.net? They might offer some interesting perspectives on such matters.