I was thinking about this, my guess is that most of the early bitcoin adopters, especailly pre 2020, still think like in the first sentence. We just have a few rich loadmouths and a whole lot of retail doing the second.

So does it really matter? They might try and fork it, but the core bitcoiners will continue on with the real thing. Nothing really changes unless all the bitcoiner OG's and paranoid crytpo anarchists sell their coins. It's these Leute who have most of the supply of btc.