SURVIVING WEEK 12

(Previous post had this title, but should have been WEEK 12 ATS PICKS). Can't edit on NOSTR, so it is what it is.

Last week I lost one of my last two entries with the Football Team, but I pivoted to the Jaguars on the other, which is why I’m still writing this post.

Let’s take a look at Week 12:

At a glance, you can see there is really no pot-odds play here, as no team is more than 20 percent owned. Moreover, most of the big favorites — Lions, Chiefs, Cowboys, Dolphins and 49ers have already been used, so you’re looking at teams like the Titans, Vikings, Patriots, Broncos and Colts.

I tentatively have the Patriots who are horrendous, unclear on which of their bad quarterbacks to start and playing on the road against a solid Giants defense. But they are coming off a bye and get to face Danny DeVito who took nine sacks last week against the Team. I also like that the Giants are coming off a dramatic win. Big buy low, sell high, but that works much better against the spread than in Survivor. I just mostly hate the other options.

If I change my mind, I’d probably pivot to the Titans who are at home and get a doormat on whom they can beat up. I just don’t trust a rookie QB against an okay defense.

The Vikings will have their hands full with the Justin Fields Bears, the Eagles have a short week against a desperate team and could overlook Buffalo a bit after beating the Chiefs in KC, while the Broncos and Colts are coin flips.

I’m probably sticking with the Pats even though I think the Giants are overall a better team. I just like the setup for them this week.