Assuming that previous trends will replay. If not then you'll make the biggest mistake of your life. And I know plenty of people who've tried this in past cycles and ALL of them own less coins today than they owned before the started their experiments.

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Yes. The disclaimer about assumptions is the second statement very clear in my post. Which is the same assumption the original poster made.

Doing exactly this in past cycles would end in a good outcome. If people lost coins, it means did not follow this approach and did something else.

In the future nobody knows, but if you want to play, that's how I would do it.