Nostr Web Client

Setting the scene for an important question many of us have:

A Family Member/Best Friend/Significant Other is going to follow your investment advice. because they have a chunk of uninvested $$ that need to get put to use.

They already have some bitcoin, but could buy a decent chunk more.

They don't understand bitcoin, but TRUST YOU. That trust is something you CANNOT RISK as it is worth much more than money.

Their biggest fear is downside volatility. They would feel worse "losing a bunch of money" if bitcoin went down and they bought too much than if Bitcoin went up and they didn't buy enough.

What do you do with this cash?

1) DCA into Bitcoin (over what time period?)

2) Lump Sum RIGHT NOW (what %?)

3) Hold Cash until next Bear Market

IntuitiveGuy☯️ 4mo ago

Divide the total $$ in surplus

DCA half of it for the next 2 years..

Wait to put the rest for 35/50% eventual corrections for the supposed next bear market that should/would come in the next 6 to 18 months.. after one of those corrections put half of it and start DCA again with the rest.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

IntuitiveGuy☯️ 4mo ago

While those times the more they read and study bitcoin, the better..

Ben Justman🍷 4mo ago

I like this framework.

50% bet on bitcoin never coming back down (the logical future - or just us not knowing if it'll ever come back down here)

50% bet on things continuing and a good buying opportunity in the future.

my base case thinking is that we come back to ~100k so that's tripping me up with recommending a buy and this is a good middle ground

IntuitiveGuy☯️ 4mo ago

Yes I agree with you, I believe the 85k gang will determine the bottom of next bear, approximately at beginning of 2027 IMHO..

We'll see..