🇷🇺INSURGENCY IN RUSSIA: what we can be sure of so far.
The impression of Russian weakness from the beginning of its war against Ukraine has always been passionately denied by its propagandists. Today it was proved that the insistent nuclear bluff was an almost unique weapon to demonstrate strength.
Putin reportedly had to resort to the rescue of the man he used as a puppet: Aleksandr Lukashenko. This helped Putin by knowing that his communist regime, inheritance of the Soviet Union, is still standing, solely and exclusively thanks to subservience to Putin's regime. It was the embrace of the desperate.
What was wide open to the world at this moment:
1. Putin is no longer the owner of internal power.
2. Putin does not have the hegemony of the armed forces.
3. Russia lacks the ability to protect its own territory in a “surprise assault”.
4. He Set a bad example for Russian culture by abandoning the capital (which seems to be a fact).
5. The partners of the CSTO (Russian version of NATO), were not available to help him, mainly President Tokayev of Kazakhstan.
6. Putin must hand over heads of his high ranks to try to stay in power, without the possibility of making threats or distributing his famous tea.
7. Putin, if nothing changes, must become a puppet of the Russian oligarchy, who will use his image to carry out his wishes.
8. The role of the Wagner Group should change the power structure mainly in Africa, if that's what Prigozhin wants.
Points we need to pay attention to:
a) How will this dynamic affect the relationship with China and how will the Communists of Beijing take advantage of it?
b) How will this weakening influence the dynamics of relations with Iran in Latin America?
c) How will this process influence the actions of the SĂŁo Paulo Forum in Latin America?
d) Would the “globalist” elite have acted to, once again, come to Putin's aid? (If you don't know this point and think it's funny, it's time to review everything you know about international relations in the last 20 years).
There are many questions, many things that will happen from now on. Russian dynamics have started to change dramatically and the main questions are:
- Will Putin be able to “turn around”?
- In a new power arrangement, what will be the new position of the Russian oligarchic structure?
The next few months will be intense and full of deep studies.
