It’s a gradual lockdown, but yes they are about to slowly boil the frog until they get a closed walled garden just like iOS.

It’s voluntary now, but the intention is clear. Remove anonymity from developers, and make it very difficult to do side loading of apps.

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Do not use the word "side loading", it's just installing an app on your device. There is no side loading on desktop so why would it be on mobile ?

On mobile we have App Stores.

They stop completely (iOS) or make it hard (Android) to distribute your apps without the approval of the companies.

Side loading means you jump the fence in Android. In iOS it is very hard but doable.

Do you know the Microsoft store ?