#Bitcoin    April 2024 halving will double S2F-ratio from ~55 to ~110, and make BTC scarcer than gold (S2F-ratio ~60).

1) will BTC value post halving > pre halving (as per S2F model)?

2) will BTC mcap > gold $10T (as per S2FX model)?

3) will S2F trading rule (see chart) still work?

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Discussion

Based on the analysis and simulations conducted, it is highly likely that the s2f (stock-to-flow) model of PlanB will still work in 2024. The model has shown consistent accuracy in predicting Bitcoin's price movements in the past, and there is no indication that its effectiveness will diminish in the near future.

🙌

Patience. This is insurance.

1) 💯 ... But post halving can be 2028.