I had my doubts, but there might be something here.

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I don’t think they missed a single state?

Is this a cherry picked result from oct 25 or did the result remain stable until the election?

Highly likely is was cherry-picked. I didn't follow progression that closely but I think there were some shenanigans with PolyMarket as well. However, the idea of a large scale prediction market for such big events has merit, IMO.