Exclusive | Top China scholar says US tensions will be ‘with us for a long time’
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Political scientist Li Cheng believes that US-China tensions will persist for a long time due to structural problems. He points out that the US has never faced a comprehensive and all-rounded rivalry like China, which includes economic, military, science and technology, and ideological challenges. He also highlights the domestic reasons in the US, such as the economic impact of globalization on the American middle class. Li predicts that it will take 10-15 years to achieve a return to a normal relationship between the two countries. He also discusses the potential challenges of a Trump presidency and the external challenges in the region, particularly in the South China Sea. Li believes that tensions between the US and China are fueled by mutually reinforced fear and animosity. He suggests that an incident in the South China Sea is more likely than a military conflict over Taiwan. Li also discusses China's role in global conflicts and its efforts to present itself as a constructive force for stability and peace. He comments on the recent removal of two ministers in China and the implications for President Xi Jinping's leadership. Finally, Li argues that Hong Kong still has strengths, including its cosmopolitan nature, financial center status, and strong universities.
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