While that may be mathematically true, haven't 2 BitAxes already found blocks. Based on how few of them have been produced and how few run them, that is pretty nuts to think about.
Discussion
Are you sure it's even mathematically true then?
it's luck, it happens, and whether or not it happened doesn't mean it's gonna happen again soon, there is ZERO correlations or patterns to luck
i've modded the bitcoin proof of work consensus and i had all those newbie thoughts in my mind
there is much greater chance of picking a winner in roulette, poker or blackjack by a margin that is comparable to the distance from one place on earth to another compared to here and the furthest thing that Webb has photographed
the only thing i learned other than these things about poisson point processes like proof of work mining is that you can reduce the width of the distribution of finding blocks by the use of powers of two timing targets that run concurrently (multiple block schedules), this was successfully able to cut down the variance by maybe half, of the time between finding blocks, so like taking the bell curve and squashing it together a bit
but this thing about bitaxes is pure superstition
