I’m thinking on the fly…

If they’re buying spot bitcoin today in order to sell it into a future’s contract, then the future price must be greater than today’s price. Because the arbitrage opportunity (future - spot) has to not only generate a profit but also account for their financing cost of holding the bitcoin during that period of time.

Also, wouldn’t one think that in such a trade there is MORE demand in today’s spot market which would drive today’s price UP while the future’s price would go down?

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I guess when spot demand greater (negative carry) would be repriced in the futures market….first who the hell is locking In pennies…when you have BTC but🤔

Just not sure how the liquidation event plays out if the futures short isn’t short they’re delta neutral