How so?

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to misquote political strategist James Carville:

โ€œitโ€™s the technology, stupid.โ€

from the early days of semiconductors and mainframes in the 1960s and 1970s

through the personal computing boom of the 1980s

and into the internet and mobile revolutions of the late 1990s and 2000s

the Bay Area has repeatedly raced ahead of the rest of the world

each time, new technologies

( microprocessors, graphical user interfaces, online commerce, social mediaโ€ฆ )

were conceived and refined here before spreading globally

these waves established Silicon Valley as not only an engine of innovation and thus a magnet for talent and capital

location matters

AGI is a nerdโ€™s dream in a way that mobile and social never were

demands new semiconductors to handle massive computation

requires novel memory architectures to process vast language models

needs breakthroughs in algorithms and deep computer science

large companies arenโ€™t what makes the innovation, what reshape industries.

itโ€™s (mostly) small companies, led by visionary, quixotic instigators that do.