“I think it will be both worlds, in that there will be small Bitcoin communities where everything becomes cheaper year after year, and large UBI communities where everything becomes more expensive.”

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UBI can't work long term

You could say the same for fiat money. It’s been around for ages despite the flaws.

Fiat money is not UBI, it's a social contract. UBI needs to be on top of a worthless Fiat money nobody will want to save in, that's why it's less likely to work long-term. Welfare is not universal but if it were to become the fiat that supports it would fail faster, this one reason why USD is failing.