Nostr Web Client

The most peculiar thing about people shilling AI is that they seem believe things are going to change so drastically soonish. It took us decades to get to this point. There is no reason to believe that the exponential development will continue.

Also it’s kinda funny that people say stuff like “You should learn to prompt engineer now, otherwise you will be left behind” while at the same time they believe that the tools will change so drastically

HoloKat 8mo ago

I saw a tool launch that does the job of one or two people in 5 minutes that would normally take them a full day. And we started with simple ugly image generators. That is incredible change and progress. It would be dumb to assume it stops there.

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Discussion

ABH3PO 8mo ago

It's also dumb to assume progress remains exponential, there are roadblocks that become very hard to overcome, by that logic we should have had a colony on Mars by the 1980s.

Not saying AI tech won't get better but we're seeing some real saturation with LLMs specifically.

For more info see "Scaling Laws for Natural Models" by Kaplan

HoloKat 8mo ago

No disagreement there. But seeing the progress so far I’d be on a lot more being ahead.

Hanshan 8mo ago

we would have colonies in space if human energy consumption had continued to increase.

the demonization of nuclear power has flattened the curve of human progress.