Carney will win. It will likely be a minority government, but there's a fair chance of his admin forming a majority.
Discussion
I am on the other side I see a conservative minority
I hope you're right.
I've said it multiple times, but I believe both the Cons & Libs are moving in the same direction. One is driving the speed limit, while the other continues to accelerate. We'll hit the concrete wall regardless, it's just a matter of how fast.
While I did decline my ballot, I hope the Cons win, to slow down the vehicle. I'd rather hit the wall at 80km/h than 150.
I put 4 Xs and wrote: study bitcoin. Just cause thereis choice doesn't mean I like the choices.
Conservative majority, I don’t buy the polls for a second
I listened to the Loonie Hour this week, where they had a pollster explain their method. It was pretty interesting to learn about it.
https://youtu.be/BYotb3j5c8E?si=8-cuvgLJpcVHjF4V
Personally, I now prefer to use Polymarket over polls. When people putt their money on the line, it seems to be closer to the truth. However it's not perfect, because people can misread the room & the betting is made with fiat money. According to the betting market, it isn't looking good for the CPC.
On a personal note, based on discussions I've had with friends, family & randoms, the Liberals seem to have an edge.
I guess we'll see tonight.
I am in the same thought pattern, with your speeding towards the wall analogy. I did exercise my vote and hope for a conservative victory, but that's just a step in the right direction, with a long road ahead.
Listening to Sam Cooper on June News at the moment. He believes there may be Chinese interference in the polling & betting markets. It'll be an interesting night.