All we can do is speculate.

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I agree, but at the same time as a 2011 bitcoinner those are my reasons. Though I still like nostr. Love it. It's just going to take time. People haven't even figured out what it is yet honestly they think it's a Twitter replacement. And it's not it's a tcp/ip protocol layer that is going to do a lot of things that make more sense on a fundamentally ephemeral layer then the monolithic things that we've built so far on top of tcp/ip.

To that point people don't understand Bitcoin either. Just watch Roger ver's recent interview. If anybody should understand Bitcoin it's him. There's plenty of people here who believe he's still preaching gospel. And they don't get it either in my opinion.

All takes time.