Historically the True Market Mean (which is basically the average price paid by investors, is pretty straightforward and doesn't use any magic number or crazy formula and was created by nostr:npub1qh5sal68c8swet6ut0w5evjmj6vnw29x3k967h7atn45unzjyeyq6ceh9r) with some probabilities (again without any magic just using past data) was enough to know the top (and the bottom)

I'm curious if it will hold true this cycle too

To learn more about it go to: https://kibo.money/assets/pdfs/glassnode/cointime-economics.pdf