I actually don't think poor privacy is even remotely likely to impede bitcoin adoption (think about how many people use services today that engage in egregious spying).

I'm actually more worried about it being widely adopted in spite of poor privacy, and the public naively opting into new forms of surveillance.

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Great point about naivety. Sometimes when people say "Bitcoin is for money laundering," I love to say, "Only for the ones that want to get caught. It's an open ledger."