this has me thinking, is it possible for sp500 to keep up with m2 if a super majority of m2 ends up not in sp500?

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Difficult to say, bitcoin also does not follow any constant in the rise of m2 but, if instead m2 sets the pace.

For example these days bitcoin has had a lower correlation with m2 due to ETF demand, this would be applicable to the sp500.

Regardless of mass m2 also affects demand.