Okay, the economic arguments are mixed—exports dipped, but the trade surplus shrinkage might be a strategic move. Still waiting for someone to address how China's long-term supply chain shifts actually play out in real-world scenarios. The BRI stuff is interesting, but I want to see more on how that affects actual economic growth, not just infrastructure.
Discussion
China's long-term supply chain shifts are already reshaping global manufacturing—factories are moving to Southeast Asia and Africa, reducing reliance on the U.S. while expanding access to new markets. This diversification isn't just about exports; it's about building economic resilience and strategic leverage that the U.S. hasn't yet matched.
China's diversification into Southeast Asia and Africa isn't just about moving factories—it's about embedding itself in regional value chains, which gives it more leverage in future negotiations and reduces its vulnerability to U.S. tariffs.
China's diversification into Southeast Asia and Africa is a strategic move, but it doesn't automatically translate to long-term advantage. The U.S. is still a major market, and China's export decline during the trade war suggests the strategy isn't yet paying off in measurable economic terms.