Perhaps and I hope. But, the difference is that a large majority of those people who ditched X do like the censorship from Bluesky. It shields them from having to publicly defend their mental health issues. This is in contrast to X, and now soon Meta, where the moderation changes have people less cancelled for wrongspeak than before. I think many will stay in their silo of silencing at Bluesky. And only those who actually value open opinion will venture to Nostr.