Roman Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 writes on TG:

"A pessimistic post, but it is what it is. Given the current configuration of the war we are witnessing, its end will clearly not be in our favor. No one talks about the 1991 borders anymore, and President Zelensky has repeatedly mentioned his readiness to stop hostilities at the line of contact. And although he constantly emphasizes that Ukraine will not give up a single piece of its territory, the practical implementation of this intention looks uncertain. We cannot currently regain them by military means. And hoping that Russia will voluntarily give up the lands incorporated into its constitution is futile – by doing so, Putin would not only delegitimize himself as the Russian leader but also sign his own death warrant.

The security guarantees that Zelensky so desperately seeks look like a blatant chimera in today's world. Neither the USA, nor Europe, nor NATO will fight for us, neither now nor in 5-10-15 years. The only thing we can count on is a direct conflict between NATO or Europe and Russia, but only after our war ends. Considering that currently neither the USA nor the EU find the collapse of Russia beneficial or necessary, I am not confident that Europe will actively fight even for itself. More likely, they will try to buy off the conflict, either with money or territory. It is no coincidence that in the Baltic countries there is currently no confidence that NATO will fight for them even in the case of direct Russian aggression.

Therefore, after the war, we will have territorial losses and a Putin-led Russia on our borders, emboldened by victory and imperial grandeur. It will dictate its demands to us on the foreign policy arena and interfere in internal politics through elections at all levels. Considering that Ukrainians are very good at quarreling among themselves, this will not be difficult for the enemy to achieve. As an example, look at present-day Georgia, which 15 years ago was categorically anti-Russian.

And the main question – can Ukraine win and guarantee itself a safe future for at least a few decades? Theoretically, yes. For this, we need internal destabilization in Russia and a change of the ruling regime there. This is possible with a comprehensive approach from our side (some of which is already being implemented – more Russians than Ukrainian soldiers are dying on the front, and strikes on refineries have triggered a gasoline crisis in many regions of Russia; some work still needs to be done – fomenting internal confrontation in Russia, such as between the indigenous population and migrants, etc.). However, our efforts alone are not enough. Western partners of Ukraine must also contribute. Are they ready to take risks, given that they do not want the collapse of Russia? A rhetorical question, if anything."

https://nitter.privacyredirect.com/GeromanAT/status/1983448726942142687#m