Ok let me make it clear for you.

Say you have a shitcoiner friend. And you want to convince them to stop shitcoining as it's just gambling. And I want to convince them by showing them that mathematically what they do falls under the definition of "monte Carlo fallacy"

But this friend doesn't believe that because he/she not only look at candle chart but also on chain data and some macro economic data as well in their analysis..

I know what you are saying, but it's not really helping to convince someone stop gambling