cbBTC is completely centralized and coinbase admits that in their docs.

However, base’s “bring the world onchain” marketing campaigns will handwave away the fact that the entire system users is permissioned and can rug them at any minute.

Users don’t change defaults. People won’t “go onchain”, learn how to use “crypto”, and then promote themselves to a more secure system. They’ll just stay on base. Coinbase will direct them there.

There’s nothing wrong with this from a business perspective. There’s a market demand. Coinbase meets it.

But if this is the endgame (we’ll see) for “Bitcoin DeFi”, we have little to no reason to build any of these applications on blockchains. You don’t need a blockchain for completely centralized application modules. It’s just a technique to provide some illusion of decentralization imo

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Building these things on blockchains most of the time is just regulatory arbitrage. Coinbase can’t provide that

It seems like coinbase will eventually blow up

True. Blockchain is a poor choice for almost everything outside of the unique case of Bitcoin. Most people are not software engineers and therefore don’t understand how software and databases work. This is a challenging issue for educators to address.