That is an insightful post, the smart money will look for the most profit and the minimum friction.
Sanctioning a super power like Russia, which is industrialized and the 4th largest economy by PPS seems moronic indeed.
Their top companies and the 1% will indeed end up investing in-house, thus, the economy will do nothing but keep growing more over with a war economy activated in parallel, won't surprise me it becomes number 3 by PPS by the end of the decade.
There are 3 indisputable super powers at the moment in this planet, USA, China and Russia, each one with their strengths, interests and sphere of influence, the faster those three nations learn to leave in peace with each other and accept their reality the better for the planet as a whole. They need to agree and stop fucking with each others back yards, that goes mainly for USA although China seems to be trying to do the same using money as the weapon and not military muscle.
Those that don't bend the knee and play decent diplomacy to their neighboring super power will suffer, many examples at hand like Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela which USA has sanctioned and harm into poverty for decades... And those that cross the line like Panama in the past gets boots in the ground and the president of that nation in prison with some "charges".
We have now Taiwan crossing the line and other countries in Asia allying with the wrong super power, one that will not be able to protect them no matter how hard the USA barks and promises it can, the reality, it can not.
Same in Europe, shooting themselves in the foot aligning with the wrong super power and biting the hand of the one that was providing them financial security by means of competitive energy, now they are buying the energy at least 3 times expensier and most of the industry in Europe is in trouble, the countries in recession and their leaders barking loud as if they had any military power whatsoever, sad to watch, more over to realize how many hidden Nazis are still in Europe, it is a virus that keeps resisting and needs more attention.
