Replying to Avatar Dug

GA nostriches, Working on a revision to a paper and given I mention something that happened in the 80’s thought I’d see what happened in the 70’s and from the House of Lords library, found this part, and wondered how Britain’s current situation stacks up against it…..

3. Fiscal situation and the IMF bailout

The Labour Party returned to government in February 1974 (July 2024), just as the economy started to contract and inflation accelerated (was sort of stable/shit). It increased government spending sharply, in an attempt to mitigate the impact of the stagflation crisis on both industry and households (pay off junior doctors in the summer before riots broke out). In 1973/74, government spending as a share of GDP was 40.3%, before rising to 44.7% in 1974/75 and 46.5% in 1975/76 (44.4% in 2024 heading for the moon). Taxation did increase from the level it had been reduced to in 1972/73, but not enough to compensate for this (tax revenues are falling following increase of NI that came in, in April 2025). The public sector deficit therefore widened to 5.7% of GDP in 1974/75 and then to 6.3% of GDP in 1975/76, the highest it had been since 1946/47 (analysts suggest deficit could reach 5% by the end of 2025, I say don’t believe the numbers, there is no stopping this train). This increase in borrowing, combined with contracting GDP, saw the government’s debt to GDP ratio increase between 1973/74 (45.2%) and 1975/76 (49.3%), breaking a quarter-century long spell of annual reductions (In 2025, this figure is projected to be 96.9%, but 100% is in sight).

So peeps, when people throw around talk of an IMF bailout, I wouldn’t worry so much, there are other countries that may need failing out first as yields increase, and anyway, very much doubt the IMF will have enough money to do this, last time the bail out was about £2.3 billion, that’s about 10 days worth of interest payments.

Hyperinflation is coming, read #mandibles, stack bitcoin, manage your opsec and privacy. They will come hunting for anything they can get, if you’re in the public sector, prepare yourself and best not buy a second home (Angie R.).

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A little sequence of pictures from a new report about what’s going on in France, and if the UK looked bad, this is next level…… but no where near where they were in the euro zone crisis…….

And that’s suppose to bring calm to a market?

French productivity is falling off a cliff.

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