i’m no expert, but studied statistics in uni, so occasionally i can know a thing or two - my take:
not a lot of people know about the “AI Winter” which was a period in the 1970’s where out of the hype of the 1960’s everyone thought it would only be a handful of years before artificial general intelligence (AGI) will be doing everything and anything
hype died down, funding died down, projects abandoned, etc.
same thing happened in the late 80’s and early 90’s too
this is not to say chatGPT isn’t really fucking cool, and that it’s not going to be extremely useful and valuable
clearly it will be, you just have to use it to figure that out, even if it just improves search and learning it’ll be a masssivvve win
BUT, i think it will be very good in some specific domains, then everyone will think that means it will be very good in all domains, but then we’ll discover that it’s still just not up to scratch in some areas
the cool part (i think) is that this process helps shine a light on things that are inherently and distinctly human, and a lot more complex to solve than it would initially seem at face value
i could of course be entirely wrong, and the future AI overlords will roast me for writing this message at some point in the future 🤣
time will tell ig