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Replying to Avatar bc1984adam

Short term bearing bitcoin and risk... Chance the Fed raises again in June, and balance sheet continues to roll off as they said they would.

It's been a year now (of raising/QT) and multiple banks have failed. You have to ask yourself: What would be the catalyst for the Fed to actually pivot, lower rates and restart QE? (Really bad, is what it would have to be. Hence bearish risk until something *different* happens.)

#my2sats

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bc1984adam 2y ago

*bearish (not bearing)

made a post about this to expand on above points: https://bc1984.com/macro-musings-0001/

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