When you look a 10ys vs. 2 ys. yield inversion on the bond market ous get a remarkable reliable predictor for a recession. Here you can see this for the US Market. ATM the 10 yr Treasury yield is 80bp below the 2ys! You have to look back to early 80s to a similar one. The gray shadowed areas are official recessions.

Source: St. Louis FED,17th Febr. 2023