Don’t get me wrong, I’m not anti-vaccine…I’m just being clear as a physician that everyone will get infected because there is no way to prevent this (well, other than dying of something else in the near future).

I’m guessing most people have been infected already…this can be formally studied using sero-surveys but there seems to be little interest in estimating the size of the population most at risk.

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It’s very interesting how quickly the widespread interest in tracking strains etc., has dwindled.

Remains to be seen how widespread it gets over the next few months but it definitely seems to evade existing immunity.

There’s a thoughtful/nuanced newsletter from a no-bullshit epidemiologist I used to read; pretty sure she still publishes. Happy to dig it up if you’re interested 🤙

Love to see it. People forget HCOV-NL63. It is a human coronavirus that binds to the ACE2 receptor identified in 2004…at first t seemed like a new disease was in an outbreak, but eventually it was recognized it had been with humanity for thousands of years. Causes a common childhood cold. This is the eventual fate of sars-cov-2.

I don’t even remember that one, lol. And certainly hope that’s the same direction Covid lands. I’m damn tired of even thinking about it.

Anyway, at the time this was a simple email newsletter, sounds like she built it out a bit more.

Pretty balanced take on things and she does a good job incorporating studies and citations

https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/archive