soon, the only metric that matters for a military is it's drone capability.

the amount of aircraft carriers, submarines, enlisted personnel, etc are quickly becoming irrelevant.

how fast can a drone attack a target?

can the drones execute autonomously if command is destroyed?

how big a payload can the drone delivery?

how fast and how cheap can you make drones?

can your drones control other drones?

can you drones disable other drones?

can you drones disguise as another country's drones?

how long can your drones hover in waiting in stealth?

how small can you make drones?

can your drones fool an enemy into thinking there are aliens?

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Can you make drones cheaper than the cost of shooting them down?

For me drones are only one factor.

I see the future battlefield as being dominated by 4 factors:

1) Can you avoid being overrun? Do you have the anti-maneuver assets (missile batteries, squad special weapons) to stop a rapid advance?

2) Can you withstand enemy bombardment? Do you have the fortifications (tunnels, trenches, bunkers) or stealth (submarines, camouflage, anti-satellite weapons) required for your assets to survive long enough to do anything?

3) Can you identify targets whose destruction will advance your goals? (satellites, reconnaissance planes)

4) Can you project force to destroy a target? (drones, artillery, missiles, etc)

I think current trends are against heavy mechanized combat involving aircraft, armored vehicles, or surface ships. The weapons that destroy these machines simply cost much less than these machines.