๐‘๐ž๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ค๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐œ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐ญ๐œ๐จ๐ข๐ง ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐š ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ฒ

Having recently started working for a Bitcoin bank in Switzerland, I was introduced to the โ€œprivilege of having toโ€ save through the traditional pension system. As a libertarian-minded, young Bitcoiner I do have my fair share of struggles with the traditional pension structure and I pretty much avoided it my entire life up until now.

After countless discussions with my parents and father-in-law about the flaws and unsustainability of the pension system, I felt compelled to delve deeper into understanding how it works.

Today, while I'm still skeptical and believe that young people like me should put the bulk of their savings elsewhere, I've come to realize the resilience of traditional pension systems.

In fact, I used to think pension systems are on the verge of collapse and that it would be wise to withdraw any savings sooner rather than later. However, I've realized that this risk isn't as imminent as I once believed. How come?

The answer lies in the fact that traditional pension systems are ultimately supported by their respective governments. When push comes to shove, our benevolent fiat overlords ensure that these pension funds remain solvent. A prime example of this occurred during the UK gilt crisis in late September 2022, which saw a sharp decline in UK treasury bond prices.

The intervention in the gilt market during that period was crucial in saving the British pension system from a potential crisis. Here's how it happened:

In years of low interest rates, UK pension funds leveraged their investments using Liability-Driven Investment (LDI) strategies. When bond prices dropped, these funds faced significant losses, triggering demands for additional collateral that many pension funds struggled to provide.

By stepping in to stabilize the UK gilt market, the Bank of England prevented a widespread collapse of LDI funds, averting a financial crisis that could have severely affected pensioners.

Given this outright government backstop for pension funds, why wouldnโ€™t you want to be saving through this vehicle? I started this conversation by saying that I am still skeptical about pension funds and that I would put money elsewhere.

This is because in real-terms traditional pension systems are falling behind. Because of regulations, these funds have to be invested in government bonds. When governments, in coordination with their central banks, prop up treasury bonds to support pension funds, the resulting measuresโ€”no matter how complex and opaque to the average personโ€”are likely to erode the purchasing power of those savings over time.

So, whatโ€™s the solution? Itโ€™s essential to look beyond pension funds. While stocks can be a viable option, I believe that Bitcoin offers the most promising investment opportunity.

In a world where government-backed collateral, primarily in the form of bonds, is continually devalued to sustain the pension system, Bitcoin represents a new form of market-based collateral with tremendous upside. I firmly believe that Bitcoin is well-positioned to become the ultimate market-based collateral of the future.

Although Bitcoin lacks government backing and regulatory supportโ€”similar to goldโ€”its market size is poised to rival that of U.S. government bonds. Once that happens, its liquidity will compete with that of U.S. treasuries. Unlike gold, Bitcoin is entirely virtual, leading to lower custody costs, cheaper transportation, and easier verification. These advantages make Bitcoin a more efficient asset compared to gold, but it has not yet surpassed U.S. government bonds.

However, when considering Bitcoin's global accessibility, 24/7 liquidity, instant settlement, and uniform fungibilityโ€”especially when contrasted with the fragmented U.S. bond market, which includes securities with varying maturitiesโ€”it's clear that Bitcoin has compelling advantages.

In conclusion, we can say that government-backed pension systems are the ultimate savings technology for boomers. They have served this generation well throughout their lives, and likely will continue to do so.

For millennials and younger generations, Bitcoin represents the next evolution in savings technology. By adopting it now, you stand to benefit disproportionately, just as previous generations have capitalized on their own era's ultimate savings vehicles.

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#Investing

#Cryptocurrency

#WealthManagement

#Libertarian

#FutureOfFinance

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#MillennialFinance

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Discussion

Despite the advantages of Bitcoin you have identified, we need to give equal weight to the arguments as to why Bitcoin might fail.

Yes. What arguments come to mind?

The power of the US state to manage bitcoin into a controllable bound space through the creation of laws restricting its use and by occasionally incarcerating users indefinitely on spurious charges.

The US has already used these tools to restrain bitcoin adoption and growth and there is nothing to stop them from repeating the same tactics again and again and again.

I am not saying that they want to kill bitcoin, only turn it into something they control, which I already think they do simply because they already have the tools required.

These are some reasons why the Bitcoin market may not equal the size of US treasury market in particular.

Another might be the brics nations forming a gold backed currency standard and becoming the dominant global commodity price setter.

There will be other scenarios where bitcoin will just continue much as it is or becoming an alternative inflation tracking asset. What can I or anyone really know about what will happen?

But just being better is not in itself, imo, sufficient to guarantee becoming the dominant asset class.