I give a high probability to the 🇺🇸 strategic BTC reserve because of how aligned the country just became. Trump won all the swing states, the popular vote and now controls congress. Trump 1.0 made a lot of mistakes by picking neocons that undermined his agenda. So far Trump 2.0 seems to be avoiding those mistakes. He has a superstar team with universal recognition how they got screwed the first time around.

In any event, we’ll probably know in January. Either it happens quickly or it won’t happen at all. It seems to me that his team know that others are starting to front-run them.

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I've always considered it a done deal simply because they really don't have to do anything but move the already seized coins from one place to another to say they've done it.

Whether they continue to acquire after that is the real question for me. But yeah, such an easy bar to start the process and they essentially get a bucket of goodwill for doing so.

Yes, and maybe a small SBR could be done by executive order.

https://www.btcpolicy.org/articles/can-trump-order-a-strategic-bitcoin-reserve