Well, most of the volume in P2P exchanges (bisq, robosats, peach, etc) gets settled through banking. So I would be concerned about how a draconian CBDC deployment could impact the scene.
As an antidote to that, it would be great if more real-life meetups and communities pop everywhere. A social web of people meeting in meatspace will endure a lot of oppression.
Hell yeah, very good points! For now as long as there isn't a clear connection to Bitcoin in the P2P banking there is usually a lot of freedom when not doing crazy amounts, and I expect that to extend to CBDCs at least for a while.
But for now cash and USPS money orders are by far the most private and permissionless methods.
And yes, ultimately the most resilient scenario is Bitcoiners helping each other in local areas and acting as the on and off-ramps directly, over E2EE platforms like Signal and SimpleX for coordination.
