A response to a Bitcoin friend pointing me to podcasts telling me what the price is going to be this cycle:

What I've learned about price prediction is nobody knows anything, except the one person who correctly predicts the price by sheer statistical chance, who will then assume they have some deeper understanding than others and will make really bad predictions in the future and wreck their followers.

If anybody tells you they know what the price is going to be this cycle, the only thing you can tell about them is they know so little as to think they it is possible to know what the price will be this cycle 😂