I predict that at some point in the near future, we will experience a chain reorganization after 1 confirmation, and more than half of the exchanges will go down

1 confirmation seems like enough, but will you bet your entire backend on it?

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This happens multiple times per year.

What?? I haven't seen this happen once? 😅😅

Orphan blocks happen when two blocks are mined at the same time. The block that gets a further block added to it will become the legitimate chain, and the other block becomes an orphan block.

It's the reason why Satochi said to wait for 6 confirmations to be absolutely sure your transactions confirm with near zero risk of being orphaned.

Having a chain recorg after one block happens. Having a chain recorg after 6 blocks is improbable.