Is there any serious prediction market now where people trade on the escalation of the war in Ukraine? I feel like there's only propaganda everywhere and I have no clue what's about to happen next. I'd love to move back to my home country Germany but feel like sitting out this conflict in Chile isn't a bad idea neither.

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That is interesting but at first glance, it's all just opinion. Zero stakes. So it's not actually a market. Still ... interesting.