I think it'll be less this time, more like 50%

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Yep, 50 makes sense and i doubt for long as bitcoin will be scarce and there’s money to be made from their products

What's your top of cycle prediction?

More sats 🤙

Don't know but from previous cycles the last ATH is usually the next cycles low (give or take some). So imo the current price would be future low IF we see a post-halving 80% correction. From this you can derive the approximate high of this cycle. Of course that's just game theory based on the past cycles.