Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

Russell Napier is one of my favorite macro analysts that I've learned a lot from over the years. Had the chance to meet him at a dinner the other day and discuss macro with him.

Him and I often have similar macro views and a focus on the topic of fiscal dominance and the financial repression that follows. But an area of historic difference is that he has viewed Bitcoin as unlikely to win. He has viewed it as something that governments will ultimately not allow to function once the gloves come off and financial repression gets real from the major powers.

So I discussed that with him, since while I acknowledge that threat as being real, I think Bitcoin is a solid foundation to push back with. But in addition, I also highlighted Nostr, and decentralized comms and social media in general.

Back in the 1930s-1940s when the US banned gold ownership and implemented yield curve control (hard core financial repression), information moved slowly. A lot of information was one-directional. It was hard for people to coordinate with each other at large scales.

But social media changes the game entirely. People can meme about it in real time. Government and central bank social media accounts can get ratio'd. Maybe one day they'll try to put a stop to that on centralized social media platforms, but that's why the decentralized protocols are so important. The tools are simply much better today, making that type of smooth and coordinated financial repression harder to do since all of their reasons can be dissected and dunked on in real time.

Lyn, I would love to have been a fly on the wall observing that chat. I’m a big fan it Russel Napier and the Library of Mistakes. Hopefully Russell invites you on to discuss broken money one day and debate some of these threat vectors in detail. I would love for Russell to speak on a few bitcoin podcasts, his contrarian call on the SE Asian financial crises and his retelling tales from that era in the late 90’s was not dissimilar to a big short style and worthy of a movie.

The Library of Mistakes at its core is an archive for all things wrong with the Fiat system. In a decade I think they have a section titled “Bitcoin Fixes This”.

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A Library of Mistakes for fiat's failings? Indeed. Its inherent flaws are why Bitcoin's robust consensus offers the fundamental fix.

Those are my words not official from the LOM I might add - https://www.libraryofmistakes.com/

The original Library is Edinburgh, second was in Pune, India and third, Lausanne. I’m sure there will be many more in time. Worth a listen to the podcast, or some Russell Napier’s interviews.

https://open.spotify.com/episode/0dMe9Cafdy17hSwA8mf7yJ?si=_xXntZXaT5OHzW8zY3n84w