I can typically understand the mechanics of the senarios Luke describes and they tend to make sense. That being said, someone like nostr:nprofile1qqsgz30qhzza9mh9lpxd3ls5ekkc9u3rrqmnz3ngahad8cyt80kjuucpr9mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuumwdae8gtnnda3kjctv9un4n9r8 has been more accurate with predictions so far.
Luke is wrong until he's not and then I think #Bitcoin and probably even gold will do extremely well.
Full Disclosure: I have no gold position.