How would you know the coin was stolen what’s the mechanism?

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It's not certain that we would. It would show up in the form of many dormant pre-segwit wallets moving coins and likely selling on exchanges or OTC desks.

This is the point. You have no idea if it was a legit move from the controller of the coins or someone “stealing” them.

Hence why a sensible default is “not my keys, not my coins” I’ll just let whoever has the keys say what happens.

It might make price go down it might not. We’ll find out at the time.