I got bounced from my home league pool on the Bengals last week. I was initially on the Seahawks, but changed my mind because I trusted Joe Burrow more than Geno Smith. I’m not too upset about because the Bengals lost on a last-second field goal, while the Seahawks won on one. While it really doesn’t matter *how* you lose, the likelihood is you’re going to lose, and it’s better if losing isn’t on account of some truly idiotic presumptions.

It’s kind of like the difference between dying because a meteor hit the earth, and dying because you were drunk and decided it was a good idea to jump into the swimming pool from the roof. Either way, you’re dead, but the former is easier to swallow. At least for me.

In any event, I took Cincy in my home pool also in part because I knew everyone else would be on the Cowboys (they were available to everyone), and so there was no pot-odds consideration between them and the Seahawks, i.e., I would be the only one on either team.

But in my offshore-book pools the Seahawks were far less owned, so I took them in my two remaining ones and still have a dog in this fight. Which is the only reason I’m writing this column as I won’t be writing any columns after I’m dead. (That pool is down to about 800 people for $100K, i.e., I have about $120 in equity which is only a little more than the $100 buy-in for my home pool Week 1.)

In any event, let’s take a look at Week 11:

The Football Team is the most popular given they’re playing the Midgets but keep in mind the Midgets beat them the first time around, albeit with Tyrod Taylor, not Danny DeVito.

The Dolphins, Cowboys and Niners are all similarly large favorites, but lower owned because (a) most people have used them; and (b) most want to save them and use the Team instead. And the Lions (home against the Bears) are also in play.

My lean would be Dallas if you have them — they tend to beat up on bad teams, though they’re better at home. The Dolphins also beat up on bad teams, but they’re a little soft. I could see the Dolphins winning by 40, or getting run over by Josh Jacobs. The Team should handle the Giants but while they’re scrappy and play good teams tough sometimes, they also can lose to anyone.

The 49ers are back on track after three losses, and they should handle a scrappy Tampa team that’s lacks upside. The Lions are good, but their defense has fallen off of late, and Justin Fields gives the Bears a puncher’s chance.

I would avoid the Texans, who lost to the Panthers, against the Kyler Murray Cardinals.

Bottom line it’s Cowboys (who you’ve used), and then probably the Niners (who you’ve also used), then a coin flip between the Dolphins and Football Team. I’d have the Lions a little behind both and I’m not touching the Texans.