Well.... Maybe :)

Incentives are, also, get more zaps. So one should focus on zappers, which may not be the same as focus on larger reach.

And the bitcoiners seed... I think most movements start with narrow focused groups. Makes more sense.

I don't see your reasoning as nonsense, on the contrary it's very based.

But I don't see your examples as crippling by definition.

Generally speaking I see nostr still far away to the point of being inevitable.

Can't make an argument about it now.