What inevitably will happen is what always happens. The bifurcation of those who actually seek freedom and open expression even if it's uncomfortable at times, and those who can not handle it and need walled gardens with wardens to protect them. Bluesky may not succeed, but something like it will be wildly popular for that reason.
And those on Nostr who so fervently preached freedom and no censorship are now being tested. The trials have just begun, and many will fail. Communities will fork. History often rhymes, sadly.